A memoire for Wolf Song (Born Rickie Provencher) Foreword The passing of Wolf Song in 2000 struck me as hard as any death I have experienced in my life. What follows are my recollections of Wolf Song’s stories, and any other information I can find. I very much enjoyed his stories and the style he used to tell them. My…
Author: jonathan.cummings
What we know and what we need to know
As David R. Smith says, “To a scientist, the key uncertainties are those that suggest interesting alternative hypotheses. To a decision maker, the key uncertainties are those that affect decision choice; in some cases it is possible to make a smart choice despite unresolved uncertainty.”
How does COVID-19 mortality compare to other causes of death?
For those who wish to play the home game you can compare mortality rate or use the formulas below to calculate mortality rates, survival rates, and 1 in X Died (survivors per deaths) statistics for yourself.
A reflection on the presidential election.
updated on Nov 23rd.If it were up to me here’s how I think the election results should be communicated: Historical PerspectiveBiden received 51.0% of the vote, the highest percentage for a challenger since FDR in 1932, and the highest share of eligible voters voted (65.4%) since 1972. Popular Vote Margin in ContextThe margin of victory is greater than 6.01 million…
COVID-19 Analyses, October 31st edition
Depending on your point of view COVID surges on at its study rate of spread, or is starting its second or third peak. Regardless of the point of view, some major statistical milestones have been reached and winter is looking ominous.
COVID-19 Analyses – August 29th edition
Good news: rates aren’t worse than my last analysisBad news: rates aren’t better than my last analysis What follows are the statistics and visualizations regarding COVID-19 that I find informative, important, or were just interesting to me to create as I learn more about data visualization. There are plenty of other analyses available, and analyses that come from disease…
COVID-Analysis – Now With Animations
What follows are the statistics and visualizations regarding COVID-19 that I find informative, important, or were just interesting to me to create as I learn more about data visualization. There are plenty of other analyses available, and analyses that come from disease experts, which I am not, so I encourage you to read and look at those as well! The…
Response to a COVID-19 School Opening Risk Analysis
My response to a risk analysis comparing COVID-19 to auto fatalities.
COVID-Analysis
The number of confirmed cases around the world recently passed 20 million. In the USA, the number of confirmed cases recently passed 5 million and the number of deaths surpassed 1 in every 2,000 individuals.
COVID-19 Analyses update
COVID-19 Analyses update. We’re number 1! USA has the most active cases per capita of any nation on earth. On the plus side, there aren’t any active cases in my town.
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