{"id":240,"date":"2020-07-26T16:00:26","date_gmt":"2020-07-26T20:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/?p=240"},"modified":"2020-07-26T16:00:26","modified_gmt":"2020-07-26T20:00:26","slug":"covid-19-analyses-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/data-visualization\/2020\/07\/covid-19-analyses-update\/240\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 Analyses update"},"content":{"rendered":"

What follows are the statistics and visualizations regarding COVID-19 that I find informative, important, or were just interesting to me to create as I learn more about data visualization. There are plenty of other analyses available, and analyses that come from disease experts, which I am not, so I encourage you to read and look at those as well!<\/p>\n

The analyses use data last updated on 7\/25\/2020.<\/p>\n

Global Analyses<\/h2>\n

Global Total Cases<\/h3>\n

Currently the nation with the fewest per capita confirmed cases is Laos at 1 in every 364,114 individuals.
The nation with the most per capita confirmed cases is Qatar at 1 in every 26.
The global prevalence is 1 in every 477 individuals have had a confirmed case of COVID-19, an increase from 1 in 544 on 7\/17\/2020.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Distribution of national confirmed COVID-19 case prevalence.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
Global cases per day.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Global Deaths<\/h3>\n

There are 27 nations that have not had a COVID-19 fatality.
Currently the nation with the fewest per capita deaths is Uganda at 1 in every 22,910,131 individuals.
The nation with the most per capita deaths is San Marino at 1 in every 808 individuals.
Globally 1 in every 11,938 individuals have died from COVID-19, an increase from 1 in 12,908 on 7\/17\/2020.
1 in every 25 individuals who have contracted COVID-19 have died, a death rate of 3.99%, a decrease from 4.22% on 7\/17\/2020.<\/p>\n

If the current death rate in each nation remains the same, then based on the number of currently active cases, i.e. without additional infections, the current global death toll of 653,381 would be expected to increase to 746,820.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Distribution of national COVID-19 death prevalence.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"Global
Global deaths per day.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"7
Financial Times COVID-19 Tracker – Deaths \u00a0Financial Times COVID-19 Tracker link<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
Financial Times COVID-19 Tracker – Deaths in Selected Nations<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Global Active Cases<\/h3>\n

Currently their are 14 nations without any active cases of COVID-19, a decrease from 15 on 7\/17\/2020. The most populous nation without any active cases is Timor-Leste.
The nation with the most per capita active cases is USA at 1 in every 156 individuals.
The global prevalence is 1 in every 1,487 individuals with an active case of COVID-19, an increase from 1 in 1,648 on 7\/17\/2020.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Distribution of national active COVID-19 case prevalence.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
Financial Times COVID-19 Tracker – New Cases Selected Nations<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

United States of America Analyses<\/h2>\n

National Status<\/h3>\n

In the USA 1 in every 76 people has had a confirmed case of COVID-19 (1 in 87 on 7\/17\/2020), 1 in every 156 has an active case (1 in 174 on \/17\/2020), and 1 in every 2,214 individuals have died (1 in 2325 on 7\/17\/2020). The USA in ranked in position 10 (11th on 7\/17\/2020) for per capita cases, position 1 (2nd on 7\/17\/2020) for per capita active cases, and position 11 (10 on 7\/17\/2020) for per capita deaths.<\/p>\n

USA Total Cases<\/h3>\n

Currently the state with the fewest per capita confirmed cases is Hawaii at 1 in every 874 individuals.
The state with the most per capita confirmed cases is New York at 1 in every 44.<\/p>\n

\"\"
COVID-19 prevalence by state. Higher prevalence (1 in every small number of individuals) in red and lower prevalence in green.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
COVID-19 Prevalence (1 in every individuals) by state<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

USA Deaths<\/h3>\n

Currently the state with the fewest per capita deaths is Hawaii at 1 in every 55,556 individuals.
The state with the most per capita deaths is New Jersey at 1 in every 560 individuals.<\/p>\n

In the USA 1 in every 29 individuals who have contracted COVID-19 have died, a death rate of 3.46% (3.77% on 7\/17\/2020). If the current death rate remains the same, then based on the number of currently active cases, i.e. without additional infections, the current national death toll of 149,549 would be expected to increase to 222,796.<\/p>\n

\"\"
COVID-19 death prevalence by state. Higher prevalence (1 in every small number of individuals) in red and lower prevalence in green.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
COVID-19 Death prevalence (1 in every individuals) by state<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
Death Trends by State<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

USA Active Cases<\/h3>\n

Currently the state with the fewest per capita active cases is Vermont at 1 in every 3,851 individuals, a change from Hawaii at 1 in 4,467 on 7\/17\/2020.
The state with the most per capita active cases is Arizona at 1 in every 53 individuals (1 in 60 on 7\/17\/2020).<\/p>\n

\"\"
COVID-19 active case prevalence by state. Higher prevalence (1 in every small number of individuals) in red and lower prevalence in green.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\"COVID-19COVID-19 active case prevalence (1 in every individuals) by state<\/p>\n

\"\"Case Trends by State<\/p>\n

Regional Analyses<\/h3>\n
\"\"
New England COVID-19 active case prevalence by state. Higher prevalence (1 in every smaller number of individuals) in red and lower prevalence in green.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\"\"New England case trends by state<\/p>\n

\"\"
Death trends by state highlighting trends in New England<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Local Exposure Risk<\/h3>\n

There are also a number of resources available that are tracking how well COVID-19 is being controlled and the current status at a more local level. Two examples are CovidActNow<\/a> and The Path to Zero<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"
NH COVID Act Now Status<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\"\"Number of active cases in southeastern NH cities and towns.<\/p>\n

Status of Cases in the North versus the South<\/h4>\n

One question I’ve become curious about is the status of cases in the North versus the South. I defined states in the north as those with major population centers north of D.C. and Kansas City, and those with population centers south of those cities as southern states.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Case prevalence in northern and southern states<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\"\"Active case prevalence in northern and southern states<\/p>\n\n\n

Region<\/td>Active<\/td>Cases<\/td>Deaths<\/td>Active
(1 in every)<\/td>		Cases
(1 in every)<\/td>		Deaths
(1 in every)<\/td>		Percent
Active<\/td><\/tr>
North<\/td>554,071<\/td>1,800,406<\/td>103,079<\/td>322<\/td>99<\/td>2,160<\/td>30.77%<\/td><\/tr>
South<\/td>1,516,886<\/td>2,424,286<\/td>43,638<\/td>120<\/td>75<\/td>3,696<\/td>62.57<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
Table comparing COVID-19 impacts in northern and southern states<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Sources:<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Global, National and State Data<\/strong> https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/<\/a>
New Hampshire Data<\/strong> NHPR COVID-19 data tracking<\/a>
Financial Times Images<\/strong> Global Tracking<\/a> & Trends<\/a>
Risk Status<\/strong> CovidActNow<\/a> and The Path to Zero<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

COVID-19 Analyses update. We’re number 1! USA has the most active cases per capita of any nation on earth. On the plus side, there aren’t any active cases in my town.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"COVID-19 Analyses update. We're number 1! USA has the most active cases per capita of any nation on earth. On the plus side, there aren't any active cases in my town.","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[30],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-data-visualization","tag-covid-19"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/figure-2-1-2.png?fit=672%2C480&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paJPuX-3S","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=240"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":274,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240\/revisions\/274"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drjonathancummings.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}